Rafal vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 1
RAF
33%
23%
43%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RAF
5 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 5
RAF
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HON
2 - 1
RAF
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
RAF
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
ALG
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BIG
1 - 1
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
ATH
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 0
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 3
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |