Rafal vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ELD
1 - 0
RAF
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 3
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
RAF
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
THD
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
RAF
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIJ
1 - 0
HER
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
NUC
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |