Rafal vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 3
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
RAF
4 - 0
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
RAF
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RAF
4 - 2
BAH
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
JOV
1 - 1
RED
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RED
2 - 0
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 2
RED
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RED
1 - 0
ALB
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
RED
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |