Rafal vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 1
RAF
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 3
RAF
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 2
UEC
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
76%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 2
ALG
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 3
ELD
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UEC
2 - 1
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
UDF
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 1
UNI
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
PIN
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |