Rafal vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 1
BEN
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAF
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 0
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SPD
2 - 1
RAF
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
RAF
2 - 1
CFP
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
3 - 0
RAC
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDC
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 3
CDC
64%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CDC
3 - 1
BEN
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |