Rafal vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
RAF
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RAF
1 - 1
UDF
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAF
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CFP
1 - 2
RAF
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 0
RAV
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
CDC
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
3 - 1
RAC
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 4
CDC
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALT
46%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 0
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |