Rafal vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAF
11 - 2
SPO
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
0 - 1
RAF
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 2
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DOL
2 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CDC
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 2
UNI
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ELD
3 - 2
CDC
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CDC
0 - 5
THD
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RED
1 - 0
CDC
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |