Rafal vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 4
RAF
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 4
ALM
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAF
4 - 1
HON
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
UNI
24%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BIG
3 - 1
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATH
2 - 4
BIG
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BIG
0 - 2
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 0
BIG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BIG
2 - 2
BAH
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |