Rafal vs Atlético Catral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAF
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 2
MON
41%
22%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SGU
1 - 0
RAF
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 1
RAC
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
RAF
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Catral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
HON
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
INT
0 - 1
ATL
88%
8%
3%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 3
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SGU
1 - 1
ATL
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |