Rafal vs Atlético Catral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 3
RAF
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 1
BIG
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATH
0 - 4
RAF
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 4
ALM
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Catral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
DOL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 0
ATL
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
PIN
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAH
36%
23%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |