Rafal vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
3 - 2
ELD
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
UEC
1 - 2
RAF
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
0 - 7
UDF
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 4
RAF
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PIN
2 - 3
RAF
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ASP
0 - 2
ALG
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ELD
1 - 2
ASP
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ASP
0 - 1
CDC
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
UEC
3 - 4
ASP
10%
18%
73%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 4
ASP
19%
22%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |