Rafal vs UD Aspe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
RAF
43%
24%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 3
CDC
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 1
BEN
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAF
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RAF
1 - 0
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 0
BEN
66%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 2
ASP
34%
24%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 0
HON
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UDA
0 - 3
ASP
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ASP
3 - 1
MON
54%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |