Rafal vs Alicante Rvo. A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAF
4 - 3
ASP
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
RED
0 - 0
RAF
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
RAF
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 0
ALB
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 2
RAF
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante Rvo. A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 0
ALI
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 2
ALB
22%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 1
ALI
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
ALI
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |