Rafal vs Algorfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CFP
0 - 1
RAF
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 0
RAC
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
RAF
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 1
PIN
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
RAF
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 3
CFP
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
ALG
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 2
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 1
ALG
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALG
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |