Rafal vs Algorfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BIG
2 - 3
RAF
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 0
ATH
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 0
ALT
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 0
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
RAF
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALG
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
ALG
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 1
BIG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALG
4 - 3
ATH
61%
19%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALG
0 - 1
SPO
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |