Rafal vs Algorfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+321%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 2
RAF
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
HON
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 6
RAF
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
RAF
2 - 0
ALI
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RAF
4 - 3
ASP
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 2
ATL
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
ALG
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 1
ORI
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALG
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 3
ALG
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |