Liga de Honra - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 1-2
Belenenses SAD vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
OLI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
MAF
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LEX
0 - 2
BEL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIL
5 - 0
AMO
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |