Belenenses SAD vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
BEL
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
GFC
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEL
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TON
3 - 2
FAM
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SPB
3 - 1
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
TON
1 - 2
EST
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
TON
88%
10%
2%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TON
0 - 3
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |