Belenenses SAD vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
16%
21%
63%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 2
SLB
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |