Belenenses SAD vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
VIZ
2 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 7
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 6
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 4
VIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
BOA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |