Orgullo de Reynosa vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orgullo de Reynosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CFO
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CFO
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CFO
2 - 1
NAY
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 0
CFO
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CFO
1 - 1
GAV
20%
25%
55%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GAV
2 - 0
NAY
70%
20%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
GAV
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 0
CAL
59%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
GAV
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | +1 |