Orgullo de Reynosa vs Saltillo FC analysis

Orgullo de Reynosa Saltillo FC
21 ELO 56
-5.7% Tilt -6.1%
50872º General ELO ranking 38582º
409º Country ELO ranking 302º
ELO win probability
9.4%
Orgullo de Reynosa
17.7%
Draw
73%
Saltillo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
Orgullo de Reynosa
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73%
Win probability
Saltillo FC
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Orgullo de Reynosa
+12%
-11%
Saltillo FC

Points and table prediction

Orgullo de Reynosa
Their league position
Saltillo FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
15º
48
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chihuahua FC
58
75
94.5%
Los Cabos
65
66
85%
Durango
62
63
89%
Gavilanes Matamoros
56
57
100%
UA Tamaulipas
52
52
100%
Tecos
51
51
43.5%
Saltillo FC
10º
48
49
23%
Orgullo de Reynosa
49
49
23.5%
Cimarrones II
48
49
13%
Leones Negros II
49
49
10º
6.5%
UA Zacatecas
12º
43
44
11º
30%
Tritones Vallarta
11º
44
44
12º
36%
Real Apodaca
13º
42
42
13º
82%
Mineros de Fresnillo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Club Calor
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Mexicali FC
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Colima
17º
24
24
17º
74.5%
Coras de Nayarit
18º
22
23
18º
74.5%
Expected probabilities
Orgullo de Reynosa
Saltillo FC
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
42.5% 36.5%
Mid-table
57.5% 63.5%

ELO progression

Orgullo de Reynosa
Saltillo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Orgullo de Reynosa
Orgullo de Reynosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2023
CSI
Cimarrones II
1 - 0
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
85%
10%
5%
20 45 25 0
30 Sep. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
2 - 1
Durango
DUR
13%
21%
66%
20 63 43 0
24 Sep. 2023
LCU
Los Cabos
1 - 1
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
80%
14%
6%
19 55 36 +1
19 Sep. 2023
CFO
Orgullo de Reynosa
1 - 0
Mexicali FC
MFC
13%
17%
70%
18 31 13 +1
10 Sep. 2023
MIN
Mineros de Fresnillo
0 - 0
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
89%
8%
4%
17 40 23 +1

Matches

Saltillo FC
Saltillo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2023
ATS
Saltillo FC
2 - 1
Coras de Nayarit
NAY
59%
23%
19%
56 49 7 0
02 Oct. 2023
RAF
Real Apodaca
1 - 1
Saltillo FC
ATS
8%
17%
75%
56 12 44 0
23 Sep. 2023
ATS
Saltillo FC
1 - 0
Club Calor
CAL
46%
26%
28%
55 55 0 +1
16 Sep. 2023
ATS
Saltillo FC
2 - 1
UA Zacatecas
ZAC
37%
26%
37%
54 58 4 +1
09 Sep. 2023
CSI
Cimarrones II
1 - 2
Saltillo FC
ATS
25%
25%
50%
54 46 8 0