Orba vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GOR
0 - 0
ORB
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ORB
2 - 1
UDO
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ORB
3 - 1
RAF
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
XER
1 - 2
ORB
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ORB
1 - 1
BEN
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
REA
0 - 5
PEG
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
GOR
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PEG
3 - 0
UDO
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
PEG
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 1
XER
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |