Orba vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ORB
2 - 0
OLI
33%
25%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORB
0 - 2
CAM
39%
22%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ORB
3 - 4
ALG
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ORB
2 - 0
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
ORB
35%
25%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MUT
0 - 3
PEG
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GOR
0 - 0
MUT
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MUT
5 - 1
UDO
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 0
MUT
72%
17%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MUT
1 - 2
XER
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |