Orba vs Mutxamel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FON
3 - 1
ORB
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ORB
5 - 2
CUL
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORB
0 - 3
REA
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ORB
4 - 0
XER
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
ORB
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mutxamel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MUT
3 - 1
REA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
MUT
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MUT
1 - 2
IND
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PED
0 - 0
MUT
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUT
0 - 2
CIU
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |