Moro A vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moro A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LAL
1 - 1
MOR
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
SEM
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 1
GRA
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 1
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 4
ROD
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
ORP
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ORP
1 - 0
IBA
33%
23%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
ORP
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ORP
8 - 2
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |