Unión Molinense vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PUL
4 - 1
MSM
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
UCA
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MSM
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MSM
3 - 5
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
ABA
84%
11%
4%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
UCA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |