Unión Molinense vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PUL
2 - 1
MSM
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MSM
8 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LHO
1 - 2
MSM
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 3
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MSM
39%
25%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PLU
0 - 1
ABA
61%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABA
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |