Unión Molinense vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MSM
3 - 2
RAA
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CLU
0 - 1
MSM
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MSM
2 - 3
PLU
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
YEC
1 - 3
MSM
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MSM
0 - 3
CDB
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MUL
3 - 0
CEU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 3
ABA
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 0
CEU
77%
15%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 3
CLU
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EEP
3 - 1
CEU
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |