Unión Molinense vs CD Alberca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MSM
2 - 1
ABA
27%
24%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ABA
1 - 2
MSM
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
MSM
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MSM
5 - 0
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
MSM
3 - 0
ALQ
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Alberca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 4
CDB
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALB
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARC
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MEN
2 - 2
ALB
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
CDT
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |