Malvarrosa A vs Red Mist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvarrosa A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
SAL
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
EKK
2 - 3
MAL
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAL
5 - 0
NAZ
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
APO
2 - 1
MAL
15%
17%
69%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 3
MAL
14%
16%
69%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Red Mist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
GOD
1 - 2
RMI
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
4 - 0
RMI
85%
9%
6%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
RMI
3 - 1
SAL
50%
20%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RMI
1 - 3
APO
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 2
RMI
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |