Malvarrosa A vs A. Moncadense C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvarrosa A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ADT
1 - 2
MAL
28%
21%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAL
2 - 1
SER
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UDF
1 - 3
MAL
50%
21%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAL
5 - 0
TOA
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ADP
0 - 3
MAL
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
A. Moncadense C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 3
BET
9%
15%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ADT
6 - 2
ATM
69%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 5
DSV
6%
11%
83%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SER
5 - 0
ATM
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 7
PTN
34%
22%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |