Malvarrosa A vs ACID Nazaret A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvarrosa A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
5 - 0
MAL
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 1
CIU
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
MAL
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 1
UDM
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 2
APO
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACID Nazaret A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
NAZ
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NAZ
0 - 2
JUV
13%
16%
71%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CIU
5 - 0
NAZ
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAZ
0 - 7
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NAZ
0 - 7
UDM
16%
19%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |