Madrid Rio vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ORC
2 - 0
CFM
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CFM
2 - 1
NUE
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CFM
3 - 3
CUL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALZ
3 - 0
CFM
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CFM
1 - 4
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
MBP
5%
10%
85%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 1
LUG
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
LUL
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MDE
2 - 1
LUG
70%
17%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |