Lorca Deportiva vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAU
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 1
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 1
LOR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
UCA
3 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 0
UCA
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UCA
2 - 0
IMP
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MUL
1 - 0
UCA
31%
25%
43%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
UCA
2 - 2
MAZ
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |