Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 1
LOR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 0
EGP
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 7
LOR
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
IMP
2 - 4
MIN
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 2
IMP
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
IMP
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IMP
3 - 1
BUL
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUL
0 - 2
IMP
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |