Lorca Deportiva vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PLU
0 - 5
LOR
8%
18%
74%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 1
PUL
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MUL
1 - 3
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 3
LOR
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LOR
1 - 2
MIN
83%
12%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIN
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
MAR
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
20%
26%
54%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |