Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Lorca Deportiva vs Pvo. El Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
CRD
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 2
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 6
LOR
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
YEC
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CLU
3 - 2
CDE
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDE
3 - 0
CLU
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDE
6 - 0
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDE
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |