Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 1-7
Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EFA
1 - 2
LOR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
4 - 0
LOR
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
8 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
YEC
1 - 0
LOR
65%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ELD
1 - 0
ATB
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
4 - 0
LOR
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
0 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
ATB
1 - 0
HUR
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LLO
1 - 0
ATB
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |