Lorca Deportiva vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 1
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 0
BAL
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
YEC
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NVL
4 - 0
BAL
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |