Lorca Deportiva vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 2
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 3
LOR
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 3
UCA
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
UNV
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
UNV
1 - 0
LOR
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIN
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 3
LOR
32%
27%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
YEC
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 3
AGU
15%
23%
62%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AGU
3 - 1
IMP
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |