Lorca Deportiva vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
IMP
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CDA
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
YEC
0 - 4
LOR
23%
24%
52%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
EGP
73%
16%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CIE
0 - 2
AGU
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 0
UCA
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 10
AGU
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
5 - 0
MUL
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 2
AGU
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |