L. Alfafar vs Fonteta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L. Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
3 - 2
LEV
77%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
3 - 2
JUV
20%
20%
61%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
4 - 3
LEV
44%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
ALC
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
LEV
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fonteta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FON
2 - 2
CAT
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
FON
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
FON
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FON
0 - 4
BEN
7%
14%
78%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
FON
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |