Coca de Aspe vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coca de Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
COC
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COC
1 - 1
ALB
34%
23%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 3
COC
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COC
1 - 0
UNI
38%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
COC
63%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 1
JOV
49%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 4
RAF
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 3
TOR
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
RAF
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 0
SPO
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |