Internacional de Madrid vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PBO
1 - 1
INT
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
POZ
57%
24%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ADP
0 - 0
INT
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
SFN
60%
23%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 1
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 3
ALC
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 0
LUG
83%
12%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 3
MEX
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |