Indios vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
ATS
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
SNL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
5 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
AME
7 - 2
TOL
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 3
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
17%
26%
57%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |