Indios vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
IND
0 - 1
MEX
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
SAG
0 - 0
IND
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
IND
2 - 2
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 1
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
IND
2 - 1
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
UAT
4 - 0
ORI
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ORI
3 - 0
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 3
ORI
38%
26%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ORI
2 - 1
TEC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |