Indios vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
PUM
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 1
IND
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
IND
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
LOB
2 - 5
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
TIJ
2 - 1
ORI
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
1 - 0
MEX
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 1
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ORI
4 - 1
SAG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |