Indios vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
IND
1 - 2
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
VER
3 - 2
IND
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
IND
1 - 1
CAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PUM
3 - 4
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2006 |
AGU
0 - 0
DUR
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
TIJ
1 - 1
DUR
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
DUR
0 - 0
GUE
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |