Indios vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LEO
2 - 1
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
IND
0 - 1
IRA
47%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
TIG
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MEX
0 - 1
IND
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
CAO
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 2
ZAC
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
QRO
0 - 0
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
REB
0 - 2
DUR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 0
TAM
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TIJ
1 - 1
DUR
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |